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Menampilkan postingan dari Desember, 2015

Emerging market stocks + currency mismatch

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I am not too fond of the label ”Emerging Markets”, at least not in discussions about investment opportunities. I mean, what, exactly, is an emerging market? And which countries should count as emerging? Another thing that is often misused, or misunderstood, is buy/sell recommendations. Very often you hear someone recommending a buy or sell for this or that stock without adding a time horizon. I mean, isn’t it possible that a stock could be expected to fall more before it starts climbing? Yes, of course! Also emerging markets stocks…. I will come back to this particular issue in the last paragraph below. Anyway, this entry is not about these naïve observations. Instead, what I want to highlight is a rather unknown (I think) negative (sell) observation that is applicable, first and foremost, to emerging country stocks. As of lately, many emerging market currencies have weakened dramatically against particularly the US dollar. Whether we are talking about BRICS or MINTS or any other group...